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Wall Street Analyst Estimates for Apple’s December Quarter iPhone sales range from 25M to 36M | Tech Pedias | mithil.me

Apple Apple Q1 -2012 Analysis - 1

Published on January 9th, 2012 | by Mithil Bhatia

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Wall Street Analyst Estimates for Apple’s December Quarter iPhone sales range from 25M to 36M

Apple is all set to announce its Q1 – 2012 financial results at 2:00pm PT / 5:00pm ET on Tuesday, January 24, 2012 after the markets close. Early predictions from Wall Street experts reveals that Apple can make profits of $9.83 billion on revenue of $38.16 billion.

After being polled by the Fortune magazine, around 40 analysts, professionals and independents estimates for Apple’s December Quarter iPhone sales range from 25M to 36M. Out of these 40 analysts, 22 were Wall Street Analysts who have responded to Fortune for estimates range from a high of 35 million iPhones from BTIG’s Walter Piecyk to a low of 25.2 million from Gabelli’s Hendi Susanto. Fortune also consulted 15 independent experts (some bloggers, enthusiasts and individual investors) for analysis and estimates are similar, although somewhat more optimistic if possible.

As we can see in the chart below, the forecasts of independent analysts is in green and Wall Street professionals is in blue. On the right, shows the deviation from its previous forecast for the year. The range of forecast is very broad, but if we take the average of all 22 Wall Street estimates, the net figure comes as 29.74 million iPhones, which would represent 83% year-over-year increase in unit sales, while in the case of 15 independent analysts, the average is 33.42 million iPhones, which would represent 106% year-over-year increase in sales.

If the final results exceeds above predictions, then it would indicate that the company has moved its assets well to increase earnings during the quarter ending in December. Also, this is the quarter of iPhone 4S, the phone which arrived with huge enthusiasm, but accompanied by criticism due to its firmware and battery issues. Final Numbers higher than the average of these expectations will be well excepted, but less than the average will show that Apple had wrong policy with the iPhone 4S.

Anyway, all analysis indicates that the Dec quarter will show a staggering figure, with expected profits of $9.83 billion on revenue of $38.16 billion.


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